Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 39.615976 46.743259 54.524993 63.618748 73.919214 85.189195 98.416244
2025-01-19 26.854422 35.779339 46.478214 60.105467 76.845484 96.576343 121.415071
2025-01-26 21.808205 31.839131 44.721873 62.170598 84.841376 112.932014 149.954461
2025-02-02 19.137462 30.127442 45.053116 66.275199 95.069437 132.122572 182.650634
2025-02-09 16.466014 27.817031 44.048793 68.163189 102.161998 147.377995 210.869127
2025-02-16 14.181198 25.613837 42.769570 69.302642 108.027693 161.057559 237.456013
2025-02-23 12.056376 23.263859 40.891128 69.223789 111.944731 172.058500 260.728949
2025-03-02 10.041696 20.729736 38.355486 67.786281 113.594540 179.760292 279.573086
2025-03-09 8.596906 18.915456 36.699665 67.449644 116.702196 189.520974 301.568671
2025-03-16 6.826489 16.178602 33.135488 63.632925 114.062548 190.556692 310.826339
2025-03-23 6.176445 15.477918 32.988474 65.398864 120.233824 204.940235 340.163615
2025-03-30 5.250505 14.043628 31.330050 64.386623 121.772571 212.235408 359.094591
2025-04-06 4.897308 13.871573 32.190161 68.211918 132.120677 234.591944 403.286378
2025-04-13 3.785649 11.761200 29.042480 64.536562 129.652793 236.795526 416.941159
2025-04-20 3.395930 11.270935 29.065176 66.727596 137.413901 255.764617 457.577941
2025-04-27 3.225583 11.299126 30.169412 71.075756 149.240515 281.905837 510.618458
2025-05-04 2.895850 10.821082 30.100040 73.074783 156.912723 301.446292 553.751049
2025-05-11 2.555670 10.224303 29.671522 74.280971 163.160950 318.817514 593.960684
2025-05-18 2.187461 9.438454 28.680020 74.197507 166.940511 332.080277 627.839458
2025-05-25 1.802934 8.475886 27.101787 72.675756 167.815330 340.270338 653.485437
2025-06-01 1.530730 7.796081 26.113695 72.319344 170.888022 352.398006 686.139103
2025-06-08 1.164446 6.625190 23.624261 68.277110 166.280374 350.490890 694.627276
2025-06-15 1.053750 6.404852 23.685125 70.147693 173.786144 370.858306 742.322502